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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

data as of 2026-07-06 00:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$19K$31K
Holders451+8443
Trades3.7K+33.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.4%
−7.3 pp
55.7%
Avg ROI3.3%
+2.0 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×34.03
+33.38×
×0.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×32.68
+31.95×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.6K
−$18.5K
$30.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.00
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.0%
−141.0 pp
44.0%
Underwater %92.8%
+86.1 pp
6.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.0%
−4.3 pp
38.3%
Bot %46.6%
−6.4 pp
53.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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