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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 29?

data as of 2026-04-29 15:31 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.9K−$5.0K$6.9K
Holders126+22104
Trades661+61600
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.8%
−37.4 pp
81.2%
Avg ROI8.7%
+4.4 pp
4.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×32.01
+31.17×
×0.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×36.76
+36.02×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$95
−$1.6K
$1.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.11
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.4%
−138.1 pp
40.7%
Underwater %87.7%
+87.4 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %17.3%
−10.4 pp
27.7%
Bot %23.9%
−3.8 pp
27.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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