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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

data as of 2026-04-03 12:38 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$62K$73K
Holders430+10420
Trades4.0K−1444.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.4%
−12.0 pp
61.4%
Avg ROI0.7%
−0.6 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.36
+12.60×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.66
+13.91×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.5K
−$14.9K
$24.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.03
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.9%
−127.9 pp
35.0%
Underwater %99.7%
+99.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.6%
−8.9 pp
84.5%
Bot %73.6%
−11.0 pp
84.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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