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Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $115K on August 29 at 4PM ET?

data as of 2025-08-29 08:55 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$157−$39K$39K
Holders14−923
Trades115+4966
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate16.1%
−34.8 pp
50.9%
Avg ROI-43.2%
−42.3 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.45
+0.47×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.54
+0.55×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6
−$472
$478
Recent buyer dominance0.67
−0.33
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-37.0%
−37.9 pp
0.9%
Underwater %77.9%
+45.0 pp
33.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %23.8%
−71.9 pp
95.8%
Bot %23.8%
−71.9 pp
95.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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