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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 17:10 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.7K−$6.9K$8.6K
Holders101−2103
Trades772−22794
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.9%
−4.9 pp
55.8%
Avg ROI2.7%
−1.8 pp
4.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.26
+7.41×
×0.86
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.71
+10.88×
×0.83
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$289
−$3.7K
$4.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.15
0.83
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.2%
−113.1 pp
21.9%
Underwater %98.7%
+98.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.8%
−0.7 pp
48.6%
Bot %58.4%
−6.8 pp
65.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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