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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

data as of 2026-07-22 00:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.6K−$13K$19K
Holders318−70388
Trades2.6K−752.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.2%
−2.6 pp
51.8%
Avg ROI0.9%
+0.1 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.32
+4.62×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.48
+4.75×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.2K
−$11.1K
$16.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.05
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-81.8%
−121.4 pp
39.6%
Underwater %94.9%
+93.2 pp
1.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.3%
+2.4 pp
34.9%
Bot %62.1%
−2.7 pp
64.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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