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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

data as of 2026-07-05 17:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K−$8.6K$26K
Holders389−65454
Trades3.3K−313.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.8%
−22.8 pp
66.7%
Avg ROI11.3%
+10.6 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×51.60
+51.10×
×0.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×48.78
+48.08×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.0K
−$8.8K
$25.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.02
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.9%
−157.9 pp
60.0%
Underwater %90.1%
+82.2 pp
7.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.3%
+10.2 pp
28.1%
Bot %47.9%
+10.6 pp
37.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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