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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11PM ET

data as of 2026-04-24 03:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.8K−$16K$18K
Holders107+3473
Trades1.3K+314979
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.9%
−17.4 pp
59.3%
Avg ROI1.0%
−1.9 pp
2.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.89
+12.05×
×0.83
Top-20 avg cost vs price×23.20
+22.41×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$22
+$178
−$156
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.47
0.46
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.5%
−125.2 pp
28.7%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.3%
−24.7 pp
74.0%
Bot %49.7%
−24.5 pp
74.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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