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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

data as of 2026-04-09 07:50 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$41K$54K
Holders445−30475
Trades5.0K+2644.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.9%
−28.0 pp
69.9%
Avg ROI-0.3%
−2.7 pp
2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.89
+5.04×
×0.86
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.13
+4.26×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.4K
−$39.4K
$50.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-80.9%
−98.1 pp
17.2%
Underwater %83.4%
+80.9 pp
2.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.7%
−1.9 pp
78.6%
Bot %76.8%
−2.6 pp
79.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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