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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7AM ET

data as of 2026-07-07 11:51 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.3K−$3.4K$8.8K
Holders49−2877
Trades995−731.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.5%
+1.9 pp
50.6%
Avg ROI1.2%
−0.1 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.42
−19.47×
×19.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.49
−18.60×
×19.09
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.4K
+$986
$390
Recent buyer dominance0.68
−0.30
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL111.2%
+205.8 pp
-94.7%
Underwater %0.4%
−98.8 pp
99.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.7%
−6.1 pp
61.8%
Bot %74.8%
+2.9 pp
71.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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