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Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?

data as of 2026-07-01 01:08 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Down🗓️ settles Jul 2, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
UP
49¢
DOWN
50¢
UP
49¢
UpU-DDown
Position$37+$35$2
Holders3+21
Trades9+81
DOWN
50¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.6%
−1.5 pp
55.1%
Avg ROI1.9%
−7.3 pp
9.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$2
$2
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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