Markets › detail

Will Ben Carson be Trump's HHS Secretary?

data as of 2025-02-04 15:25 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.3K−$42K$46K
Holders55−55110
Trades467−90557
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.7%
−31.7 pp
84.3%
Avg ROI2.1%
−4.2 pp
6.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.58
−0.47×
×1.05
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.65
−0.38×
×1.04
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$76
−$607
$683
Recent buyer dominance0.79
−0.21
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL53.3%
+56.4 pp
-3.1%
Underwater %16.0%
−62.1 pp
78.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %11.0%
−54.4 pp
65.3%
Bot %2.3%
−64.6 pp
66.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse