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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

data as of 2026-02-27 04:24 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.3K−$31K$39K
Holders433+113320
Trades4.1K+7003.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.7%
−15.6 pp
62.3%
Avg ROI0.9%
+1.3 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.76
+16.94×
×0.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.14
+15.32×
×0.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.5K
−$18.8K
$26.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.04
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.4%
−118.7 pp
24.3%
Underwater %98.4%
+98.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.7%
−10.4 pp
84.2%
Bot %73.1%
−10.9 pp
84.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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