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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

data as of 2026-02-09 13:55 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$43K−$113K$156K
Holders654+196458
Trades9.0K+1.3K7.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.2%
−32.6 pp
62.8%
Avg ROI-10.7%
−12.0 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×28.36
+27.63×
×0.73
Top-20 avg cost vs price×26.08
+25.34×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.7K
−$39.8K
$47.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.02
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.2%
−134.1 pp
37.9%
Underwater %97.4%
+97.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.8%
−29.6 pp
84.3%
Bot %53.4%
−30.6 pp
84.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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