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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

data as of 2025-12-08 02:42 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$38K+$19K$19K
Holders188−22210
Trades1.9K−7422.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate67.1%
+20.4 pp
46.7%
Avg ROI1.0%
−8.1 pp
9.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.51
−25.83×
×26.33
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.61
−29.80×
×30.41
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.5K
+$9.0K
$1.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.04
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL66.9%
+163.6 pp
-96.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.4 pp
97.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.9%
−24.5 pp
55.3%
Bot %29.2%
−24.4 pp
53.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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