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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-31 23:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.8K−$16K$25K
Holders329+57272
Trades3.2K+3752.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.6%
−11.3 pp
58.0%
Avg ROI0.9%
+1.3 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.65
+11.88×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.03
+12.25×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.1K
−$13.4K
$21.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.3%
−124.2 pp
31.9%
Underwater %96.7%
+96.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.4%
−10.0 pp
82.4%
Bot %71.9%
−10.4 pp
82.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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