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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

data as of 2026-06-23 16:24 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.4K−$6.7K$9.1K
Holders125−8133
Trades1.0K+195826
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.8%
+0.6 pp
54.2%
Avg ROI-0.2%
+2.2 pp
-2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.35
+4.50×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.71
+3.87×
×0.84
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$378
−$4.5K
$4.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.07
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-82.8%
−106.9 pp
24.1%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.0%
−5.3 pp
60.2%
Bot %65.0%
−4.0 pp
69.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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