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Will Trump say "Trans" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?

data as of 2024-10-20 21:51 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$7.6K−$10K$18K
Holders48+345
Trades175−141316
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.6%
−22.1 pp
60.7%
Avg ROI8.5%
+0.0 pp
8.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.40
−0.70×
×1.10
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.41
−0.70×
×1.10
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$2.9K
−$5.2K
$2.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.05
−0.95
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL146.6%
+156.4 pp
-9.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.8 pp
98.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.6%
+32.1 pp
1.5%
Bot %0.1%
−0.8 pp
1.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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