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Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?

data as of 2026-05-17 03:24 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$232−$3.7K$3.9K
Holders55+253
Trades421+111310
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.5%
−23.0 pp
60.6%
Avg ROI13.4%
+11.8 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.68
−0.35×
×1.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.66
−0.37×
×1.03
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$39
+$3
$36
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.13
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL61.6%
+64.4 pp
-2.8%
Underwater %10.2%
−86.1 pp
96.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %26.0%
−13.5 pp
39.5%
Bot %27.9%
−11.7 pp
39.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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