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Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 1?

data as of 2026-06-30 02:32 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 1, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
35¢
NO
62¢
YES
35¢
YesY-NNo
Position$134−$288$423
Holders12−517
Trades45+1134
NO
62¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate73.6%
+47.7 pp
25.9%
Avg ROI17.9%
+18.1 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.87
−0.25×
×1.12
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.87
−0.26×
×1.13
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$409
−$503
$912
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.03
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL15.1%
+26.3 pp
-11.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.7 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−0.3 pp
0.3%
Bot %0.0%
−0.7 pp
0.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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