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Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

data as of 2026-06-20 06:15 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jun 30, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
16¢
NO
84¢
YES
16¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.5K−$12K$15K
Holders64−3296
Trades587+99488
NO
84¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.3%
−21.0 pp
75.3%
Avg ROI12.1%
+9.2 pp
2.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.81
−0.25×
×1.06
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.78
−0.27×
×1.05
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$255
−$1.1K
$1.3K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL30.4%
+35.1 pp
-4.7%
Underwater %16.5%
−80.6 pp
97.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.4%
−24.5 pp
28.9%
Bot %4.5%
−36.0 pp
40.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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