Markets › detail

Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?

data as of 2026-01-27 23:43 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$153−$9.8K$10.0K
Holders51−2071
Trades405+74331
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.5%
−33.9 pp
75.4%
Avg ROI24.2%
+21.1 pp
3.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.62
+1.63×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.02
+4.04×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13
−$1.3K
$1.3K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-81.2%
−83.4 pp
2.2%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.5%
−10.6 pp
74.1%
Bot %63.6%
−10.5 pp
74.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse