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Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

data as of 2026-02-14 12:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$927−$58K$59K
Holders205+57148
Trades4.5K+3.0K1.5K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.3%
−39.8 pp
70.1%
Avg ROI2.3%
−1.8 pp
4.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.58
+1.60×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.23
+1.25×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$5
$5
Recent buyer dominance0.50
−0.50
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-55.3%
−57.2 pp
1.9%
Underwater %89.2%
+82.9 pp
6.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.8%
−75.7 pp
80.5%
Bot %10.3%
−72.4 pp
82.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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