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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

data as of 2026-01-04 00:55 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$39K+$22K$17K
Holders239−39278
Trades4.2K−4724.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.3%
+9.6 pp
49.7%
Avg ROI-1.0%
−1.5 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.69
−14.73×
×15.42
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.67
−15.79×
×16.46
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.0K
+$9.2K
$3.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.81
−0.00
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL47.1%
+140.9 pp
-93.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.6 pp
98.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.0%
+1.2 pp
74.8%
Bot %75.8%
+1.2 pp
74.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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