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Will Elon tweet 475-499 times April 4 - 11?

data as of 2025-04-05 23:53 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$855−$36K$37K
Holders103−216319
Trades1.4K+444953
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.0%
−12.6 pp
51.6%
Avg ROI2.0%
−5.4 pp
7.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.85
+0.87×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.39
+1.41×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$265
$268
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.11
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-57.4%
−59.4 pp
2.0%
Underwater %97.2%
+97.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.9%
−32.1 pp
37.0%
Bot %4.9%
−32.1 pp
37.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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