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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

data as of 2026-05-22 04:30 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.0K−$16K$21K
Holders301+55246
Trades2.4K+3262.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.9%
−18.5 pp
68.4%
Avg ROI0.4%
−0.3 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×23.00
+22.23×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.40
+16.58×
×0.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.3K
−$13.1K
$17.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.00
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.8%
−121.1 pp
26.3%
Underwater %95.0%
+95.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.7%
+3.6 pp
42.1%
Bot %61.9%
+4.1 pp
57.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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