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Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 17:13 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$626−$368$994
Holders70+2743
Trades385+178207
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.3%
−0.9 pp
50.2%
Avg ROI4.9%
+4.6 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.00
+12.34×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.21
+11.53×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$626
−$301
$927
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.05
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.1%
−140.8 pp
48.7%
Underwater %99.0%
+99.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.3%
−4.2 pp
45.4%
Bot %51.5%
+0.2 pp
51.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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