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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

data as of 2026-05-13 04:13 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.7K−$9.0K$12K
Holders158+34124
Trades1.1K+1021.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.7%
−8.4 pp
63.0%
Avg ROI2.9%
+3.6 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×80.00
+79.24×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×154.48
+153.65×
×0.83
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$142
−$5.8K
$5.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.4%
−124.4 pp
25.0%
Underwater %93.4%
+93.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.5%
−23.0 pp
71.5%
Bot %49.7%
−22.9 pp
72.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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