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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

data as of 2026-05-02 04:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.2K−$16K$23K
Holders335+79256
Trades2.9K+6532.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.0%
−10.8 pp
60.8%
Avg ROI5.4%
+0.1 pp
5.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×20.65
+19.80×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×22.77
+21.91×
×0.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.4K
−$7.6K
$12.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.11
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.5%
−119.8 pp
24.3%
Underwater %96.8%
+96.2 pp
0.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.9%
−0.8 pp
56.7%
Bot %58.5%
+1.4 pp
57.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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