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Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 12?

data as of 2026-03-12 16:12 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$11K−$31K$42K
Holders326+128198
Trades2.6K+5222.1K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.5%
−7.5 pp
60.0%
Avg ROI5.6%
+14.0 pp
-8.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.38
+10.42×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.07
+15.26×
×0.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9
−$806
$815
Recent buyer dominance0.83
−0.07
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.7%
−120.3 pp
25.6%
Underwater %80.6%
+64.9 pp
15.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.7%
+6.0 pp
23.7%
Bot %29.3%
+6.0 pp
23.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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