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Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

data as of 2026-05-25 14:33 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$8.6K−$9.9K$19K
Holders148−74222
Trades1.2K−1661.4K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.0%
−12.1 pp
69.1%
Avg ROI3.1%
−0.5 pp
3.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.20
−3.68×
×3.88
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.27
−3.62×
×3.89
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$79
+$60
$19
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.13
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL256.6%
+329.7 pp
-73.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.6 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.8%
−24.4 pp
45.2%
Bot %2.6%
−43.4 pp
46.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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