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Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?

data as of 2026-03-24 06:39 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$18−$5.0K$5.0K
Holders35−6297
Trades506+246260
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.9%
−45.8 pp
84.7%
Avg ROI28.6%
+29.2 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.30
+0.30×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.96
+0.97×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$58
$58
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.11
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-48.4%
−49.5 pp
1.1%
Underwater %90.1%
+90.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.5%
−17.7 pp
67.2%
Bot %66.8%
+11.7 pp
55.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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