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Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in February?

data as of 2026-03-06 13:32 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.6K−$10K$13K
Holders64−2488
Trades378+79299
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.7%
−28.3 pp
78.0%
Avg ROI41.0%
+23.9 pp
17.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.14
−5.94×
×6.08
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.17
−5.24×
×5.41
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.4K
−$7.0K
$8.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.05
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL479.3%
+560.6 pp
-81.4%
Underwater %0.1%
−92.4 pp
92.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.9%
−5.1 pp
8.0%
Bot %2.4%
−5.4 pp
7.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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