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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

data as of 2026-03-16 17:14 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$38K+$17K$21K
Holders357+5352
Trades5.6K−6106.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.3%
+6.0 pp
47.3%
Avg ROI2.8%
+3.6 pp
-0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.59
−36.05×
×36.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.62
−31.22×
×31.83
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.4K
+$8.3K
$5.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.83
−0.06
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL61.5%
+158.5 pp
-97.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.5 pp
98.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %80.3%
−1.8 pp
82.1%
Bot %78.6%
−1.2 pp
79.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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