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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

data as of 2025-11-18 19:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.9K−$4.7K$12K
Holders95+1184
Trades996+79917
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.7%
−12.7 pp
53.4%
Avg ROI-5.6%
−0.9 pp
-4.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.36
+15.73×
×0.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.84
+17.22×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.8K
+$862
$2.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.83
−0.01
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.6%
−154.9 pp
60.3%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.9%
+10.5 pp
68.4%
Bot %81.3%
+10.7 pp
70.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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