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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9AM ET

data as of 2026-07-27 13:36 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Down🗓️ settles Jul 27, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
UP
77¢
DOWN
20¢
UP
77¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.9K−$1.7K$6.6K
Holders71+1556
Trades605+36569
DOWN
20¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.9%
−2.4 pp
47.4%
Avg ROI-2.2%
−3.8 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.63
−2.47×
×3.10
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.59
−2.16×
×2.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.3K
−$615
$2.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.05
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL70.5%
+134.0 pp
-63.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.2%
+11.0 pp
64.1%
Bot %79.3%
−6.0 pp
85.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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