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Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

data as of 2026-03-04 09:04 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.3K−$3.4K$4.7K
Holders108+4266
Trades842+197645
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.6%
−22.1 pp
55.7%
Avg ROI-0.5%
+0.8 pp
-1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.21
+12.64×
×0.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.08
+12.51×
×0.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.1K
−$1.4K
$2.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.04
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.3%
−155.8 pp
63.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %77.8%
+0.6 pp
77.2%
Bot %77.6%
+0.4 pp
77.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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