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Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party before March?

data as of 2025-01-24 20:38 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.5K−$54K$57K
Holders650+61337
Trades2.3K+1.7K560
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.6%
−9.7 pp
60.3%
Avg ROI4.9%
−1.1 pp
6.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.64
+0.67×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.72
+0.77×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$47
+$5.4K
−$5.4K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-46.5%
−50.6 pp
4.2%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.0%
+39.8 pp
5.2%
Bot %45.0%
+39.8 pp
5.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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