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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

data as of 2025-10-15 06:10 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$34K+$25K$8.1K
Holders37+631
Trades159+56103
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.8%
−10.2 pp
55.0%
Avg ROI-6.8%
−4.2 pp
-2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×25.00
+24.47×
×0.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×24.80
+24.26×
×0.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$68
−$376
$444
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.10
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.0%
−178.8 pp
82.8%
Underwater %100.0%
+98.8 pp
1.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.1%
+46.3 pp
3.7%
Bot %1.4%
−2.4 pp
3.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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