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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-01 14:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.8K−$1.1K$8.9K
Holders129+6123
Trades1.4K−161.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.8%
+0.9 pp
50.9%
Avg ROI1.0%
−1.4 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.76
+11.21×
×0.55
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.43
+10.90×
×0.53
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.1K
−$1.5K
$4.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.02
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.2%
−174.8 pp
83.5%
Underwater %99.0%
+99.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %66.0%
+5.2 pp
60.8%
Bot %77.3%
+6.9 pp
70.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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