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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 22?

data as of 2026-03-22 07:21 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.4K−$13K$14K
Holders165+46119
Trades1.4K+1981.2K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.9%
−32.5 pp
71.4%
Avg ROI11.1%
+9.8 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.95
+13.25×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.37
+10.63×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7
−$312
$319
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.12
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.3%
−128.8 pp
36.4%
Underwater %90.7%
+89.7 pp
1.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.8%
−10.7 pp
41.5%
Bot %29.9%
−9.5 pp
39.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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