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Will Trump say "Birth" or "Birthday" at Fort Bragg on Friday?

data as of 2026-02-13 19:05 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$317−$181K$181K
Holders28+1117
Trades708+4704
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.7%
−16.5 pp
60.2%
Avg ROI8.7%
+2.0 pp
6.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×37.16
+36.45×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×29.75
+29.04×
×0.71
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$25
+$60
−$35
Recent buyer dominance0.88
+0.88
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.8%
−151.1 pp
54.3%
Underwater %91.0%
+91.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %44.6%
−24.2 pp
68.7%
Bot %45.9%
−24.2 pp
70.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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