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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7AM ET

data as of 2026-04-28 11:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$222−$1.1K$1.3K
Holders18−321
Trades33−3265
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.2%
+5.4 pp
43.8%
Avg ROI0.4%
+10.4 pp
-10.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.02
+0.12×
×0.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.02
+0.13×
×0.89
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$168
−$842
$1.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.03
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-2.5%
−14.5 pp
12.0%
Underwater %83.1%
+83.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.7%
−42.2 pp
44.9%
Bot %2.7%
−42.2 pp
44.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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