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Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on May 8?

data as of 2026-05-08 17:59 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$79−$2.9K$3.0K
Holders51−556
Trades190+61129
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.3%
−35.6 pp
88.9%
Avg ROI118.1%
+118.2 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.37
+9.38×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×20.48
+19.50×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$1.0K
$1.0K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.05
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.7%
−98.1 pp
2.4%
Underwater %87.5%
+84.3 pp
3.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.2%
+36.7 pp
9.5%
Bot %46.2%
+36.7 pp
9.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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