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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-02 12:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K+$5.7K$12K
Holders143−3146
Trades2.4K−3052.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.6%
−0.1 pp
51.7%
Avg ROI0.8%
+0.1 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.59
−39.49×
×40.08
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.60
−38.71×
×39.31
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.9K
+$776
$3.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.06
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL67.9%
+165.3 pp
-97.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.5 pp
99.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %66.9%
−0.4 pp
67.3%
Bot %79.0%
+1.1 pp
77.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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