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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10AM ET

data as of 2026-01-22 15:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$120K+$7.3K$113K
Holders326+135191
Trades5.4K−2265.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.7%
−3.2 pp
52.9%
Avg ROI0.5%
−0.5 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.00
+49.48×
×0.52
Top-20 avg cost vs price×45.41
+44.88×
×0.53
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.9K
−$3.7K
$5.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
+0.05
0.83
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.9%
−187.2 pp
89.3%
Underwater %99.0%
+99.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %94.3%
+2.8 pp
91.4%
Bot %29.2%
−23.4 pp
52.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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