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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-23 02:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$24K−$3.9K$28K
Holders429+59370
Trades4.9K+2794.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.2%
−4.9 pp
52.2%
Avg ROI9.6%
+7.8 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.37
+10.77×
×0.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.16
+9.54×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$23.5K
−$3.1K
$26.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.04
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.3%
−152.6 pp
62.3%
Underwater %95.7%
+95.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %24.7%
−8.0 pp
32.7%
Bot %48.7%
−16.2 pp
64.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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