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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

data as of 2026-05-15 15:58 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K+$15K$2.9K
Holders170−4174
Trades1.5K+811.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate64.9%
+27.8 pp
37.1%
Avg ROI-0.4%
−0.7 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.92
−0.30×
×1.22
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.18×
×1.18
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.2K
+$9.9K
$359
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.02
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL4.7%
+29.8 pp
-25.1%
Underwater %44.0%
−20.4 pp
64.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.1%
+3.0 pp
67.1%
Bot %74.3%
−0.1 pp
74.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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