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Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 2, 2026?

data as of 2026-04-04 14:24 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$756−$1.5K$2.3K
Holders70+5515
Trades364+227137
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.0%
−29.3 pp
66.2%
Avg ROI8.6%
+4.6 pp
4.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.00
+12.12×
×0.88
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.59
+15.72×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10
+$229
−$219
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.7%
−108.5 pp
13.9%
Underwater %97.1%
+97.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.4%
−1.4 pp
9.8%
Bot %13.9%
+2.3 pp
11.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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