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Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?

data as of 2024-12-27 11:16 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$105K−$383K$488K
Holders236−40276
Trades8.5K+3.2K5.3K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.6%
−10.6 pp
61.2%
Avg ROI8.6%
+7.3 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×28.61
+27.81×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×28.70
+27.88×
×0.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18
+$295
−$278
Recent buyer dominance0.78
+0.37
0.41
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.2%
−120.2 pp
23.9%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %23.9%
+3.8 pp
20.0%
Bot %23.9%
+0.5 pp
23.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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